Market Overview

The Fed cut rates twice in recent months, first by 0.50% in September, then by 0.25% on October 29th to 3.75%-4.00%, but Chair Powell signaled that December's cut "isn't a foregone conclusion," creating uncertainty. Small business confidence dipped for the first time in three months to 98.8 in September, though still above the historical average, while the uncertainty index surged to 100, the fourth-highest reading in 51 years. Despite headwinds, businesses remain resilient with average monthly earnings at $105,100.

The Numbers

Current Rates (November 2025)

  • Federal Funds Rate: 3.75% - 4.00% (cut 0.25% on Oct 29, 2025)

  • Prime Rate: 7.5%

  • Credit Card Stacking: 16.5% - 29.7%

  • Conventional Term Loans: 6.7% - 11.5%

  • SBA 7(a) Loans: 10.25% - 15.25%

  • SBA 504 Loans: ~5.98% - 7.68% (varies by term)

  • Alternative Lenders: 12% - 30%+

Typical Credit Requirements

  • Credit Card Stacking: 680+ (700+ for best limits $50K-150K)

  • Conventional Loans: 700+ required (720+ preferred)

  • SBA 7(a): 650+ minimum (680+ for better rates)

  • SBA 504: 660+ typical

  • Alternative Lenders: 600+ (higher rates below 650)

Processing Times (Current Averages)

  • Credit Card Stacking: 48-72 hours

  • Alternative Lenders: 2-4 days

  • Conventional Term Loans: 14-30 days

  • SBA 504: ~18 days median

  • SBA 7(a): 23-45 days (straightforward to complex deals)

Quick Tips

  • Tactical tip: Highlight industry trends when submitting lender packages. Healthcare and construction are outperforming other sectors in lending approvals.

  • Heads up: SBA and traditional loan processing are taking longer this fall; prep documents early to avoid delays.

  • Opportunity: Alternative lender approvals remain highest; consider non-bank options for faster funding, especially in tight credit environments.

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Sources:

  • Biz2Credit Lending Index

  • FOMC Statements (Sept 18th & Oct 29th)

  • Fed Reserve Interest Rates

  • Bankrate, NerdWallet

  • SBA Processing

  • SBA Industry Lending

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